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Mainstreet Synergy Group — Global Market & Economic Snapshot

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Week ending: Friday, September 26, 2025


Headline summary


  • U.S. equities finished the week mixed but rallied on Friday after the August PCE release and related macro commentary; the S&P 500 and Nasdaq posted gains on Friday even as major indexes finished the week with mixed results.


  • Geopolitical and trade headlines continued to shape markets: renewed U.S. tariff announcements spurred concern in export-dependent economies (notably Singapore and pharmaceutical exporters), while comments on tariff talks and global trade tension weighed on Asian equity markets.


  • Monetary policy moves and guidance remained a focus: the UAE cut rates (mirroring Fed easing expectations), which supported GCC equities that week, while investors monitored Fed communications for timing of rate cuts.


  • Regional market weakness in Korea and broader Asia reflected tariff worries, chip-sector sensitivity, and currency moves—South Korea’s Kospi dropped materially on tariff-related concerns.


Key global market closes



US Exchanges

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) — 46,247.29

  • S&P 500 (^SPX / ^GSPC) — 6,643.70

  • NASDAQ Composite (^IXIC) — 22,403.27


Canada

  • S&P/TSX (Canada) — 2,9761.30

  • S&P/TSX 60 — 1,940.67


Europe

  • ATX (Austria) — 4,654.25

  • BFX (Belgium) — 4,670.47

  • CAC 40 (France, ^FCHI) — 7,870.68

  • DAX (Germany, ^GDAXI) — 23,739.50

  • AEX (Netherlands) — 938.35

  • OMXSPI (Sweden) — 977.76

  • Swiss (SMI) — 11,929.80

  • FTSE 100 (UK, ^FTSE) — 9,284.83

  • IBOVESPA (Brazil, ^BVSP) — 145,447.00


Asia-Pacific

  • Hong Kong (Hang Seng, ^HSI) — 26,128.20

  • Nikkei 225 (^N225) — 45,355.00

  • Australia - 9,079.20

  • New Zealand (NZ50) — 14,273.80


Regional note: Singapore’s Straits Times Index (STI) fell modestly on Friday, closing at 4,265.98, reflecting wider regional pressure.


Notable cryptocurrency market moves


  • Bitcoin (BTC-USD) — $109,712.83

  • Ethereum (ETH-USD) — $4,005.80

  • XRP (XRP-USD) — $2.776



Commodities & agricultural highlights


  • Crude oil (CL=F) — $65.72 / barrel. Oil markets remained volatile after OPEC+ indicated a gradual unwinding of supply cuts; the IEA noted OPEC+’s plan to raise output in October which influenced price action.


  • Gold (GC=F) — $3,789.80 / oz


Agricultural / soft commodities

  • Grain and oilseed markets were active: U.S. corn and soy forecasts shifted modestly in USDA and analyst updates, and soy/soymeal dynamics showed sensitivity to export demand changes. Sources flagged mixed weekly moves across wheat, corn and soybeans.


Bond market


  • U.S. 10-Year Treasury (10-yr / ^TNX) — 4.1870% (close Sept 26, 2025)

  • U.S. 30-Year Treasury (30-yr / ^TYX) — 4.7660% (close Sept 26, 2025)


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Notable regional / macro stories this week (select headlines)


  • U.S. tariffs & global trade — U.S. tariff moves (including steep new tariffs on branded drug imports) created fresh concern for export-driven economies—Singapore’s pharma sector flagged potential disruption and sought clarity on exemptions. This story dominated markets in Asia and forced re-evaluations of supply-chain exposures.


  • UAE rate cut supports Gulf markets — The UAE trimmed rates (0.25 pp) in step with Fed guidance, lifting Dubai and Abu Dhabi exchanges; the move was noted as supportive for domestic equities but kept oil volatility in play.


  • South Korea and regional market weakness — Korea’s Kospi dropped ~2.45% on tariff concerns and related macro headlines that week; chip and export exposures drove a meaningful portion of the move.


  • Oil supply dynamics — The IEA noted OPEC+’s plan to gradually lift the second tranche of production cuts beginning in October; the pathway for a full unwind of cuts across many months continued to keep oil markets rangebound.


Closing thoughts and looking ahead


Markets enter the new week watching three main items: (1) tariff and trade headlines (which are driving cross-border risk premia), (2) Fed rate-cut expectations and their timing (which will influence yields and equity multiples), and (3) commodity supply dynamics — especially oil and agricultural export flows — that influence EM macro outcomes. Given elevated policy sensitivity and headline risk, diversification and client-specific liquidity planning remain prudent.


Sources & notes

Disclosure

The information provided herein is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly; past performance is not indicative of future results. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

 
 
 

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Tel: 402-213-4841

craig@mssynergygroup.com

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